New Hampshire Polls

Discussion in 'More Serious Topics' started by Joeslogic, Jan 10, 2008.

  1. Joeslogic

    Joeslogic Active Member

    Messages:
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    You know I really don't care about Obama or Hillary which one wins the Democratic primary. It might as well be Lucifer or Satan.

    That’s not the thing at all that interests me. I have always said about the polls that it simply depends on how question is given to the recipient that drives the answer and where the calls are placed. However where the manipulation takes place is when Dan Blather takes the results and interprets the meaning and tells the world what he has proven to be what everyone thinks. Without giving the specific demographics of who was polled at what time of the day and specifically what was asked.

    That being said there is a certain incentive for the respected mainstream pollsters to avoid discrediting their reputation in early primary elections in order to be taken seriously later. The report card for the polling agencies is fairly dismal to say the least regarding the NH primaries and there is no incentive, or motive to get them wrong.

    Quite the contrary.

    So the important point is not what is in the news about it. The point is that it really is not news. That there was an unprecedented in the history of polling miscalculation...... or was there?

    I find this amazing and very telling regarding the complacency of the black population with this. I knew they were brainwashed but not to this level.

    I mentioned to some black friends how curiously interesting the poll numbers seemed to be. And in both cases they went into a tirade of defending the process using the same talking points that were fed out by the media.

    You only have to ask yourself and like I said I could give a rats ass which of the Democrats win. At the same time I am only vaguely interested in the validity and credibility of the polling system and have always suspected the Democrats of election fraud so nothing has changed. My concern is how the black community were simply told what to think and how easily they took the bait "hook line and sinker".

    Ask yourself this. If those same poll numbers were regarding Al Gore and GW in 2000. Or if those same numbers were regarding McCain and Obama late 1008 and the results after election night were the same.

    Ask yourself what would the mass of programmed drones out there in America called the African American population be doing? What would the news headlines be saying?


    What Happened to Polls In New Hampshire?



    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/01/09/see-how-the-new-hampshire_n_79985.html

    Rasmussen New Hampshire Primary (January 5-7 )

    Obama 37
    Clinton 30
    Edwards 19
    Richardson 8

    McCain 32
    Romney 31
    Huckabee 10
    Giuliani 8
    Paul 8


    Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby New Hampshire Primary (January 5-7)

    Obama 42
    Clinton 29
    Edwards 17
    Richardson 5

    McCain 36
    Romney 27
    Huckabee 10
    Giuliani 10
    Paul 10


    American Research Group (January 6-7)

    Obama 40
    Clinton 31
    Edwards 20
    Richardson 4

    McCain 31
    Romney 24
    Huckabee 14
    Giuliani 13
    Paul 9


    CNN/University of New Hampshire (January 5-6)

    Obama 39
    Clinton 30
    Edwards 16
    Richardson 7

    McCain 31
    Romney 26
    Huckabee 13
    Giuliani 10
    Paul 10
    Thompson 1

    ***

    CBS News Poll (January 5-6)

    Obama 35
    Clinton 28
    Edwards 19

    ***

    Rasmussen (January 5-6)

    Obama 38
    Clinton 28
    Edwards 18
    Richardson 8

    McCain 32
    Romney 31
    Huckabee 11
    Giuliani 10
    Paul 8
    Thompson 3

    ***

    Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (January 4-6)

    Obama 39
    Clinton 29
    Edwards 19
    Richardson 6

    McCain 34
    Romney 29
    Huckabee 10
    Giuliani 9
    Paul 6
    Thompson 3


    ***

    Marist New Hampshire College (January 5-6)

    Obama 36
    Clinton 28
    Edwards 22
    Richardson 7

    McCain 35
    Romney 31
    Huckabee 13
    Giuliani 8
    Paul 5
    Thompson 4


    ***

    RealClearPolitics.com Average (January 7, 9:31am ET)

    Obama 37.4
    Clinton 29.6
    Edwards 18.8
    Richardson 5.5

    McCain 34.0
    Romney 28.3
    Huckabee 11.8
    Giuliani 8.7
    Paul 7.8
    Thompson 2.7



    ***

    Suffolk University New Hampshire Primary Poll (1/5-1/6)


    * Among 500 likely Democratic primary voters, Sen. Barack Obama runs at 35%, Sen. Hillary Clinton at 34% in a statewide primary; former Sen. John Edwards trails at 15%.

    * Among 500 likely Republican primary voters, former Gov. Mitt Romney runs at 30%, Sen. John McCain t 27% in a statewide primary; former Mayor Rudy Giuliani trails at 10%, former Gov. Mike Huckabee at 9%, Rep. Ron Paul at 8%.

    * All other candidates receive less than five percent each. The margin of sampling error is 4.4 % for each subgroup.


    ***

    USA Today/Gallup (January 4-6)

    Obama 41
    Clinton 28
    Edwards 19
    Richardson 6

    McCain 34
    Romney 30
    Huckabee 13
    Paul 8
    Giuliani 8
    Thompson <3
    Hunter <3

    The surveys of 776 New Hampshire residents who are "likely" to vote in the Republican primary and 778 New Hampshire residents who are "likely" to vote in the Democratic primary were all completed after the news from Thursday's Iowa caucuses had been reported.

    Each figure has a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points. So Obama's lead is "outside" that range, while McCain's is not.


    ***

    RealClearPolitics.com Average (January 6, 7:15pm ET)

    Obama 35.1
    Clinton 30.3
    Edwards 18.3
    Richardson 5.9

    McCain 32.6
    Romney 28
    Huckabee 11.9
    Giuliani 8.7
    Paul 8.1
    Thompson 2.4


    ***

    CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll (January 5-6 )

    Obama 39
    Clinton 29
    Edwards 16
    Richardson 7

    McCain 32
    Romney 26
    Huckabee 14
    Giuliani 11
    Paul 10
    Hunter 1
    Thompson 1

    The poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire, surveyed 341 likely Democrats and 268 Republicans likely to vote in Tuesday's primary. It had a sampling error of 5 percentage points.


    ***

    MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon (January 6)

    Obama 33
    Clinton 31
    Edwards 17
    Richardson 7

    McCain 32
    Romney 24
    Huckabee 12
    Giuliani 10
    Paul 8


    ***

    Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (January 6)

    Obama 31
    Clinton 30
    Edwards 20
    Richardson 7

    McCain 31
    Romney 32
    Huckabee 12
    Giuliani 7
    Paul 6


    ***

    Concord Monitor (January 5)

    Obama 34
    Clinton 33
    Edwards 23
    Richardson 4
    Kucinich 3

    McCain 35
    Romney 29
    Huckabee 13
    Giuliani 8
    Paul 7
    Thompson 3


    ***

    CNN/WMUR Poll (January 4-5)

    Clinton 33%
    Obama 33%
    Edwards 20%
    Richardson 4%
    Kucinich 2%

    Sampling error: +/-5% pts

    McCain 33%
    Romney 27%
    Giuliani 14%
    Huckabee 11%
    Paul 9%
    Hunter 1%
    Thompson 1%

    Sampling error: +/-5% pts

    See full results here.

    ***

    American Research Group (January 5)

    Obama 38%
    Clinton 26%
    Edwards 20%
    Undecided 8%
    Richardson 3%
    Gravel 3%
    Kucinich 1%

    Barack Obama leads John Edwards among men 42% to 21%, with 19% for Hillary Clinton. Among women, Obama leads Clinton 35% to 31%, with 20% for Edwards. Clinton leads Obama among Democrats 34% to 32%, while Obama leads Edwards among undeclared voters (independents) 49% to 21%.

    McCain 39%
    Romney 25%
    Huckabee 14%
    Giuliani 7%
    Paul 6%
    Undecided 6%
    Hunter 1%
    Keyes 1%
    Thompson 1%

    John McCain leads Mitt Romney among men 42% to 21% and McCain leads Romney 35% to 30% among women. McCain leads Romney 44% to 19% among undeclared (independent) voters, with 18% for Huckabee. Undeclared voters are now 27% of the total Republican vote.


    ***

    Rasmussen Reports (January 4)

    Obama 37%
    Clinton 27%
    Edwards 19%
    Richardson 8%
    Kucinich 3%
    Gravel 1%


    McCain 31%
    Romney 26%
    Paul 14%
    Huckabee 11%
    Giuliani 8%
    Thompson 5%
    Some other candidate 2%
     

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